The NBPA might have learned its lesson from the 2016 cap spike as well. For every Durant-to-the-Warriors success story, there were some historically horrific contracts handed out, including Nicolas Batum (five years, $120 million), Hassan Whiteside (four years, $98.4 million), Chandler Parsons (four years, $94.4 million), Ryan Anderson (four years, $80 million), Allen Crabbe (four years, $74.8 million), Joakim Noah (four years, $72.6 million), Luol Deng (four years, $72 million), Bismack Biyombo (four years, $72 million) and Timofey Mozgov (four years, $64 million). The summer of 2016 could give teams pause when planning ahead. Players should be angling for their contracts to end by then, or to have player options in 2025-26 that could enable them to test the potentially robust free-agent market if so desired. Teams should want to lock players into long-term deals, since those contracts in 2025-26 and beyond would take up a far smaller percentage of the salary cap. This looming windfall will likely affect every contract negotiation between now and 2025. Imagine what would happen if the salary cap jumped by roughly $40 million in the ensuing two years.
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Keith Smith of Spotrac is currently projecting 11 teams to have at least $19 million of cap space next summer, which should increase the bidding for free agents across the league. Only a handful of teams entered this past offseason with any cap space, which meant most teams were limited to some version of the mid-level exception. That means within the next three years, the cap could skyrocket by nearly $50 million, if not more.
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Vorkunov said agents were "already expecting" the new TV deal to "impact the league dramatically, though no one is willing to attach a number to what the 2025 cap may be." Last September, a league source told Forbes Sports colleague Morten Jensen that a $171 million salary cap "is possible" in the 2025-26 season, "assuming no cap-smoothing."įor context, the salary cap in 2022-23 is $123.655 million, while early projections have the 2023-24 cap at $133 million. If that winds up being the case, the league could be in for another massive salary-cap jump ahead of the 2025-26 offseason. The NBPA now has a new executive director in Tamika Tremaglio, and it's unclear whether another cap-smoothing proposal is a non-starter for either her or the union. It killed it in the eyes of the economists that made the recommendations, and it killed it in the eyes of the players." "And that, of course, meant that players' salaries would not increase as much as they would otherwise were it not for smoothing. would artificially deflate the salary cap," then-NBPA executive director Michele Roberts said at the time.
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